Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 88.663125 100.549308 114.027572 130.566593 150.484901 173.919008 203.904480
2025-04-20 74.232862 89.980269 109.563885 136.199692 172.280517 220.694086 292.841392
2025-04-27 67.682888 85.844247 109.927654 145.228079 197.536819 275.588089 408.308258
2025-05-04 60.072375 78.624902 104.365625 144.204789 207.375856 309.870628 504.484413
2025-05-11 54.943477 73.863169 101.157298 145.481404 220.235524 351.523560 629.784456
2025-05-18 50.082328 68.770850 96.586175 143.567057 227.010172 383.992288 751.821250
2025-05-25 46.886840 65.708783 94.583947 145.287013 240.185986 432.035622 933.952803
2025-06-01 43.662479 62.224886 91.426365 144.411644 248.170558 471.806231 1120.473802
2025-06-08 40.645068 58.754307 87.860719 142.195772 252.936716 505.924738 1315.498150
2025-06-15 39.162976 57.575896 87.939632 146.611374 272.262160 581.459277 1710.957181
2025-06-22 36.062741 53.488785 82.616129 139.943986 266.061518 589.530517 1866.324818
2025-06-29 34.166868 51.254529 80.318040 138.906767 272.454169 634.672042 2229.301956
2025-07-06 32.187483 48.903283 77.898654 137.971305 280.668189 694.447102 2785.873837
2025-07-13 31.261130 48.302750 78.648663 143.893077 307.989276 831.782658 4115.173373
2025-07-20 30.850472 48.546109 80.972607 153.626599 348.709975 1047.519249 6901.910791
2025-07-27 29.252586 46.517148 78.683051 152.523019 358.756787 1153.028482 9312.887789
2025-08-03 28.067711 45.142033 77.532525 153.899427 376.822460 1310.770673 13793.955184
2025-08-10 26.654823 43.235423 75.119458 151.835576 383.576471 1422.285743 18999.668750
2025-08-17 25.727469 42.170441 74.326240 153.689822 404.115706 1631.211028 31226.140303
2025-08-24 24.630039 40.702001 72.548594 152.746034 414.844557 1798.385744 48873.397392
2025-08-31 23.500542 39.097625 70.342151 150.357634 419.766580 1937.666665 75151.312561
2025-09-07 23.021371 38.725859 70.756704 155.117972 453.889913 2342.813606 200197.349512
2025-09-14 21.673087 36.557554 67.051788 147.931502 438.074413 2328.753547 256899.280285